Josh Parisian vs Roque Martinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record18-9-2
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height5'10"
79"Reach72,0"
266 lbsWeight239 lbs
Scorpion Fighting System· 1548 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSpike 22
What's at stake
Roque Martinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Parisian carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
If they win+11→ 1623
If they lose-13→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh ParisianRoque Martinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Parisian64%
Roque Martinez 36%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Parisian a 64% favorite over Roque Martinez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roque Martinez's way (45%).
Roque Martinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1612 to 1576, a 36-point edge.
Josh Parisian enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Roque Martinez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Josh Parisian finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Roque Martinez 67%.
Josh Parisian and Roque Martinez share 1 common opponent: Don'Tale Mayes.
Josh Parisian carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.