Josh Samman vs Neemias Santana
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record8-3-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'3"Height6'2"
79,0"Reach76"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTeam Lucas Mineiro· 1653 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1491 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh SammanNeemias Santana
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Samman52%
Neemias Santana 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Samman a 52% favorite over Neemias Santana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1607), separated by just 0 points.
Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josh Samman finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Neemias Santana 100%.
Josh Samman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.