Combat Edge Intelligence

Josiane Nunes vs Melissa Mullins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record7-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
67"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight138 lbs
Striker's HouseTeamLions Gym Coventry

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josiane NunesNow 1585
If they win+16→ 1601
If they lose-16→ 1569
Melissa MullinsNow 1595
If they win+16→ 1611
If they lose-16→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1552 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.41
Sig. strikes / min
3.71
43%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.39
52%
Strike defense
53%
0
Takedown avg.
2.03
TBD
Takedown accuracy
43%
58%
Takedown defense
86%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Josiane NunesMelissa Mullins
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Mullins64%
Josiane Nunes 36%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Mullins a 64% favorite over Josiane Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1585 vs 1595), separated by just 10 points.

Josiane Nunes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Melissa Mullins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josiane Nunes finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Mullins 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.