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Combat Edge Intelligence

Josias Musasa vs Justin Wetzell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josias Musasa
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Josias Musasa

“The K.O. Wizard”

8-2-0BantamweightUFC

1651Good

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
74"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elite Training Center - LubumbashiTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josias MusasaNow 1651
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
Justin WetzellNow 1650
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.19
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
45%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.39
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
36%
Strike defense
Not available
0.90
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
81%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.45
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Josias MusasaJustin Wetzell
15501600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (8%)
1 (13%)
Decision
7 (58%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josias Musasa and Justin Wetzell within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josias Musasa finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Justin Wetzell 42%.

Josias Musasa carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.