Josias Musasa vs Marlon Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record23-13-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'6"
74"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elite Training Center - LubumbashiTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1675
If they lose-24→ 1627
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1733 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josias MusasaMarlon Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josias Musasa57%
Marlon Moraes 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josias Musasa a 57% favorite over Marlon Moraes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Josias Musasa finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Moraes 70%.
Josias Musasa carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.