Combat Edge Intelligence

Josiel Silva vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Josiel Silva
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Josiel Silva

“Acougueiro / Sobrinho”

24-7-0BantamweightACA

1654Good

Tale of the tape

24-7-0Record11-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'8"
64.6"Reach 70"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Renovacao Coari TeamTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josiel SilvaNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Nathan FletcherNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Josiel SilvaNathan Fletcher
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (52%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
2 (9%)
Submission
7 (64%)
9 (39%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josiel Silva and Nathan Fletcher within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Josiel Silva enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Josiel Silva finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Nathan Fletcher carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.