José Medina vs Zach Reese
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record10-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
74″Reach77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamW4R Training Center
What's at stake
Zach Reese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — José Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1557
If they lose-11→ 1525
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-21→ 1623
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
José MedinaZach Reese
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Zach Reese92%
José Medina 8%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Zach Reese a 92% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Zach Reese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1536, a 108-point edge.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Zach Reese enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Zach Reese 80%.
José Medina and Zach Reese share 2 common opponents: Ryan Gandra and Duško Todorović.
Zach Reese carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.