Journey Newson vs Marcus McGhee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Impact Jiu JitsuTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Journey Newson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1638
If they lose-12→ 1606
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-20→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Journey NewsonMarcus McGhee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus McGhee80%
Journey Newson 20%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 80% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1618, a 83-point edge.
Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Journey Newson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.
Marcus McGhee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.