Journey Newson vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'10"
67"Reach73"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Impact Jiu JitsuTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Journey Newson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1631
If they lose-19→ 1599
If they win+19→ 1580
If they lose-13→ 1548
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Journey NewsonRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Journey Newson56%
Randy Costa 44%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Journey Newson a 56% favorite over Randy Costa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Journey Newson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1618 to 1561, a 57-point edge.
Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Journey Newson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Randy Costa carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.