Journey Newson vs Randy Costa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record8-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'10"
67"Reach73"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Impact Jiu JitsuTeamLauzon MMA
What's at stake
Journey Newson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Randy Costa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1620
If they lose-18→ 1588
If they win+18→ 1578
If they lose-14→ 1546
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Journey NewsonRandy Costa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Randy Costa55%
Journey Newson 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Randy Costa a 55% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Journey Newson's way (43%).
Journey Newson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1606 to 1560, a 46-point edge.
Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Journey Newson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Randy Costa 100%.
Randy Costa carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.