Combat Edge Intelligence

Journey Newson vs Sergey Morozov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record19-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
67"Reach67"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Impact Jiu JitsuTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Sergey Morozov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Journey Newson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Journey NewsonNow 1618
If they win+19→ 1637
If they lose-13→ 1605
Sergey MorozovNow 1673
If they win+13→ 1686
If they lose-19→ 1654

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
33%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.57
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.97
65%
Strike defense
61%
0.56
Takedown avg.
3.63
17%
Takedown accuracy
32%
44%
Takedown defense
68%
0.28
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Journey NewsonSergey Morozov
16001650202120222023

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (16%)
4 (40%)
Decision
8 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Sergey Morozov68%
Journey Newson 32%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Sergey Morozov a 68% favorite over Journey Newson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Sergey Morozov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1618, a 55-point edge.

Journey Newson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Sergey Morozov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Journey Newson finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Sergey Morozov 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.