Jozef Jaloviar vs Matheus Moraes
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Matheus Moraes54%
Jozef Jaloviar 46%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matheus Moraes a 54% favorite over Jozef Jaloviar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1482), separated by just 4 points.
Jozef Jaloviar enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jozef Jaloviar finishes 60% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-5-0Record1-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight220 lbs
Octagon Fighting Academy· 1574 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1494
If they lose-16→ 1462
If they win+24→ 1506
If they lose-24→ 1458
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1500 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jozef JaloviarMatheus Moraes