Juan Adams vs Justin Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-6-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'5"Height6'0"
80,0"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamNTG Fight & Fitness
What's at stake
Justin Tafa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Juan Adams carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1542
If they win+14→ 1622
If they lose-18→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Juan AdamsJustin Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Tafa62%
Juan Adams 38%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 62% favorite over Juan Adams in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Justin Tafa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1556, a 52-point edge.
Juan Adams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Juan Adams finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.
Juan Adams and Justin Tafa share 1 common opponent: Austen Lane.
Juan Adams carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.