Juan Archuleta vs Mairbek Taisumov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Juan Archuleta56%
Mairbek Taisumov 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Archuleta a 56% favorite over Mairbek Taisumov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1755 vs 1752), separated by just 3 points.
Juan Archuleta enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Juan Archuleta finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Mairbek Taisumov 92%.
Mairbek Taisumov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
31-7-0Record27-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach73,0"
152 lbsWeight155 lbs
Joe Stevenson's Cobra KaiTeamTeam Taisumov
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1767
If they lose-12→ 1743
If they win+12→ 1764
If they lose-12→ 1740
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Juan ArchuletaMairbek Taisumov