Julia Avila vs Macy Chiasson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-4-0Record10-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'11"
68"Reach72"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
All Powers Fitness and FightingTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1630
If they lose-16→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1635 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julia AvilaMacy Chiasson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Macy Chiasson63%
Julia Avila 37%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Macy Chiasson a 63% favorite over Julia Avila in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1614), separated by just 6 points.
Julia Avila enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Macy Chiasson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Julia Avila finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Macy Chiasson 60%.
Julia Avila and Macy Chiasson share 1 common opponent: Pannie Kianzad.
Macy Chiasson carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.