Combat Edge Intelligence

Julia Polastri vs Lupita Godinez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-6-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
63"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
CWB FighterTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1703 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

Lupita Godinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Julia Polastri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Julia PolastriNow 1648
If they win+17→ 1665
If they lose-15→ 1633
Lupita GodinezNow 1667
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-17→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.22
Sig. strikes / min
4.51
57%
Strike accuracy
49%
5.18
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.03
59%
Strike defense
62%
0.62
Takedown avg.
2.96
60%
Takedown accuracy
41%
58%
Takedown defense
82%
0.31
Submission avg.
0.86

Trajectory

Julia PolastriLupita Godinez
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (14%)
6 (43%)
Decision
11 (79%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Julia Polastri and Lupita Godinez within a point of even.

Lupita Godinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1648, a 19-point edge.

Julia Polastri finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.

Julia Polastri carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.