Julia Polastri vs Lupita Godinez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record14-6-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
63"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
CWB FighterTeamLobo Gym MMA· 1725 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Lupita Godinez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Julia Polastri carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1684
If they lose-15→ 1652
If they win+15→ 1697
If they lose-17→ 1665
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julia PolastriLupita Godinez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lupita Godinez59%
Julia Polastri 41%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Lupita Godinez a 59% favorite over Julia Polastri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Lupita Godinez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1682 to 1667, a 15-point edge.
Julia Polastri finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Lupita Godinez 21%.
Julia Polastri carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.