Julia Polastri vs Tabatha Ricci
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-6-0Record12-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'2"
63"Reach 61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1589 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Julia PolastriTabatha Ricci
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Julia Polastri and Tabatha Ricci within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1642), separated by just 6 points.
Tabatha Ricci enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Julia Polastri finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Tabatha Ricci 42%.
Julia Polastri and Tabatha Ricci share 1 common opponent: Lupita Godinez.
Julia Polastri carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.