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Combat Edge Intelligence

Juliana Lima vs Tecia Pennington

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-7-0Record15-8-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'1"
65.50Reach60″
116 lbsWeight115 lbs
Gracie Barra BHTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

Tecia Pennington is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Juliana Lima carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Juliana LimaNow 1524
If they win+22→ 1546
If they lose-10→ 1514
Tecia PenningtonNow 1658
If they win+10→ 1668
If they lose-22→ 1636

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1663 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.94
Sig. strikes / min
4.78
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
2.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.48
56%
Strike defense
62%
1.72
Takedown avg.
0.54
31%
Takedown accuracy
14%
71%
Takedown defense
62%
0
Submission avg.
0.06

Trajectory

Juliana LimaTecia Pennington
150015501600165020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (7%)
8 (80%)
Decision
13 (87%)

Combat Edge model read

Tecia Pennington78%
Juliana Lima 22%Elo baseline: 68%

The Combat Edge model makes Tecia Pennington a 78% favorite over Juliana Lima in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).

Tecia Pennington holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1658 to 1524, a 134-point edge.

Juliana Lima finishes 20% of wins inside the distance, Tecia Pennington 13%.

Juliana Lima and Tecia Pennington share 2 common opponents: Brianna Fortino and Carla Esparza.

Juliana Lima carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDEC · 2016
Carla Esparza
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
Loss Decision · 2019
Brianna Fortino
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020