Combat Edge Intelligence

Julija Stoliarenko vs Molly McCann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-9-2Record14-8-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'7"Height5'4"
66"Reach62"
125 lbsWeight116 lbs
Fighter HouseTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

Molly McCann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Julija Stoliarenko carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Julija StoliarenkoNow 1551
If they win+18→ 1569
If they lose-14→ 1537
Molly McCannNow 1596
If they win+14→ 1610
If they lose-18→ 1578

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1593 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.49
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
39%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
46%
Strike defense
63%
0.93
Takedown avg.
1.84
28%
Takedown accuracy
37%
55%
Takedown defense
39%
1.67
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Julija StoliarenkoMolly McCann
155016001650202320242025

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
6 (43%)
10 (91%)
Submission
1 (7%)
1 (9%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Julija Stoliarenko59%
Molly McCann 41%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Julija Stoliarenko a 59% favorite over Molly McCann in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Molly McCann's way (44%).

Molly McCann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1596 to 1551, a 45-point edge.

Julija Stoliarenko enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Molly McCann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Julija Stoliarenko finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Molly McCann 50%.

Julija Stoliarenko and Molly McCann share 1 common opponent: Luana Carolina.

Julija Stoliarenko carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2024
Luana Carolina
WinKO · 2022