Julio Arce vs Murtazali Magomedov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'11"
70"Reach70"
147 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1727
If they lose-12→ 1703
If they win+16→ 1730
If they lose-16→ 1698
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julio ArceMurtazali Magomedov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Julio Arce51%
Murtazali Magomedov 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julio Arce a 51% favorite over Murtazali Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1715 vs 1714), separated by just 1 points.
Murtazali Magomedov enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Julio Arce finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Murtazali Magomedov 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.