Combat Edge Intelligence

Julius Anglickas vs Raffael Cerqueira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record11-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
46,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
St. Charles MMATeamCTJ Judo & Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Julius AnglickasNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Raffael CerqueiraNow 1628
If they win+16→ 1644
If they lose-16→ 1612

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1590 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.62
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
78%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.88
51%
Strike defense
37%
4.47
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
40%
1.12
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Julius AnglickasRaffael Cerqueira
1650170020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (18%)
3 (30%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Julius Anglickas and Raffael Cerqueira within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1628), separated by just 3 points.

Julius Anglickas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Raffael Cerqueira enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Julius Anglickas finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Raffael Cerqueira 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.