Julius Walker vs Magomed Malsagov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Julius Walker58%
Magomed Malsagov 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Julius Walker a 58% favorite over Magomed Malsagov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Magomed Malsagov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1622 vs 1623), separated by just 1 points.
Magomed Malsagov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Julius Walker finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Magomed Malsagov 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record5-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'2"
78"Reach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1638
If they lose-16→ 1606
If they win+24→ 1647
If they lose-24→ 1599
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Julius WalkerMagomed Malsagov