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Combat Edge Intelligence

Juntaro Ushiku vs Kaiwen Li

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Kaiwen Li
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Kaiwen Li

“The Underdog”

17-8-0LightweightRUFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

24-14-1Record17-8-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
145 lbsWeight150 lbs
American Top TeamTeamK-1 Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Juntaro UshikuNow 1610
If they win+12→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1598
Kaiwen LiNow 1616
If they win+12→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.73
Not available
Strike accuracy
43%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.72
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.41
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
93%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Juntaro UshikuKaiwen Li
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (27%)
KO/TKO
10 (59%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (6%)
15 (68%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Juntaro Ushiku62%
Kaiwen Li 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Juntaro Ushiku a 62% favorite over Kaiwen Li in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaiwen Li's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1616), separated by just 6 points.

Juntaro Ushiku finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Kaiwen Li 65%.

Juntaro Ushiku and Kaiwen Li share 2 common opponents: Arata Mizuno and Kouya Kanda.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

LossDecision (Unanimous) · 2026
Arata Mizuno
WinKO · 2026
WinDecision (Split) · 2021
Kouya Kanda
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2023