Jurgen Koci vs Ruben Vinci
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Jurgen Koci and Ruben Vinci within a point of even.
Jurgen Koci holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1525 to 1495, a 30-point edge.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
TBDHeight5'5"
-Reach67"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Jurgen Koci is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ruben Vinci carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1547
If they lose-26→ 1499
If they win+26→ 1521
If they lose-22→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jurgen KociRuben Vinci