Justin Burlinson vs Manuel Del Valle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record8-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin BurlinsonManuel Del Valle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manuel Del Valle58%
Justin Burlinson 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Manuel Del Valle a 58% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Burlinson's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.
Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Manuel Del Valle enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Manuel Del Valle 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.