Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Nikolay Veretennikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record14-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach 75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA AcademyTeamKings MMA· 1672 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Nikolay VeretennikovNow 1653
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1534 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.69
40%
Strike accuracy
57%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.30
62%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
0.42
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
100%
Takedown defense
63%
9.28
Submission avg.
0.42

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonNikolay Veretennikov
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
8 (80%)
Submission
1 (7%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Nikolay Veretennikov57%
Justin Burlinson 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nikolay Veretennikov a 57% favorite over Justin Burlinson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nikolay Veretennikov 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.