Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Burlinson vs Ricky Glenn

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ricky Glenn
us

Ricky Glenn

“The Gladiator”

22-8-2LightweightUFC

1646Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record22-8-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
41,0"Reach70.5"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Dungeon BJJ and MMA AcademyTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 21 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin BurlinsonNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Ricky GlennNow 1646
If they win+12→ 1658
If they lose-12→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1670 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.24
Sig. strikes / min
3.79
40%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.09
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.30
62%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
0.72
TBD
Takedown accuracy
13%
100%
Takedown defense
69%
9.28
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Justin BurlinsonRicky Glenn
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
13 (59%)
6 (75%)
Submission
3 (14%)
0 (0%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Justin Burlinson66%
Ricky Glenn 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Justin Burlinson a 66% favorite over Ricky Glenn in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1646), separated by just 0 points.

Justin Burlinson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ricky Glenn enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Justin Burlinson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Glenn 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.