Justin Guthrie vs Orlando Sanders
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-9-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight158 lbs
Colorado Fight FactoryTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1591
If they lose-16→ 1559
If they win+24→ 1599
If they lose-24→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin GuthrieOrlando Sanders
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Orlando Sanders83%
Justin Guthrie 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Orlando Sanders a 83% favorite over Justin Guthrie in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Guthrie's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1575 vs 1575), separated by just 0 points.
Orlando Sanders enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Justin Guthrie finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Orlando Sanders 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.