Combat Edge Intelligence

Justin Lawrence vs Ramon Taveras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record10-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReach70"
145 lbsWeight140 lbs
Power MMATeamBulldog Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justin LawrenceNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Ramon TaverasNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.96
Sig. strikes / min
4.07
35%
Strike accuracy
43%
5.43
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.45
68%
Strike defense
54%
1.38
Takedown avg.
0
29%
Takedown accuracy
0%
73%
Takedown defense
73%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Justin LawrenceRamon Taveras
160016502016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

5 (45%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (9%)
Submission
3 (30%)
5 (45%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Justin Lawrence and Ramon Taveras within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Ramon Taveras enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justin Lawrence finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Ramon Taveras 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.