Justin Tafa vs Parker Porter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record13-9-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
265 lbsWeight256 lbs
NTG Fight & FitnessTeamUnderdog Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
Justin Tafa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Parker Porter carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1622
If they lose-18→ 1590
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-14→ 1561
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Justin TafaParker Porter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Tafa70%
Parker Porter 30%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 70% favorite over Parker Porter in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Justin Tafa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1608 to 1575, a 33-point edge.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Tafa finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Parker Porter 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.