Justin Wetzell vs Marlon Moraes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record23-13-1
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1733 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin WetzellMarlon Moraes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marlon Moraes52%
Justin Wetzell 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Marlon Moraes a 52% favorite over Justin Wetzell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Wetzell's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1650), separated by just 0 points.
Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Marlon Moraes enters on a 8-fight loss streak.
Justin Wetzell finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Marlon Moraes 70%.
Justin Wetzell carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.