Justin Wetzell vs Sarvarjon Khamidov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record17-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeam55 Spirit Dushanbe
What's at stake
Sarvarjon Khamidov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Justin Wetzell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1671
If they lose-11→ 1639
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-21→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Justin WetzellSarvarjon Khamidov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sarvarjon Khamidov71%
Justin Wetzell 29%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Sarvarjon Khamidov a 71% favorite over Justin Wetzell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Sarvarjon Khamidov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1650, a 101-point edge.
Justin Wetzell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Justin Wetzell finishes 42% of wins inside the distance, Sarvarjon Khamidov 59%.
Justin Wetzell and Sarvarjon Khamidov share 1 common opponent: Marcirley Alves.
Justin Wetzell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.