Combat Edge Intelligence

Justine Kish vs Melissa Gatto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record9-3-2
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach69"
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Black HouseTeamMSP

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Justine KishNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Melissa GattoNow 1571
If they win+24→ 1595
If they lose-24→ 1547

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.78
48%
Strike accuracy
50%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
58%
Strike defense
54%
0.87
Takedown avg.
1.47
33%
Takedown accuracy
29%
50%
Takedown defense
64%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.49

Trajectory

Justine KishMelissa Gatto
15501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (33%)
2 (22%)
Submission
4 (44%)
7 (78%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Melissa Gatto62%
Justine Kish 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Melissa Gatto a 62% favorite over Justine Kish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1571), separated by just 2 points.

Justine Kish finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Gatto 78%.

Justine Kish and Melissa Gatto share 1 common opponent: Tracy Cortez.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (split) · 2021
Tracy Cortez
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022