Combat Edge Intelligence

Justine Kish vs Tracy Cortez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record12-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Black HouseTeamFight Ready

What's at stake

Tracy Cortez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Justine Kish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Justine KishNow 1569
If they win+20→ 1589
If they lose-12→ 1557
Tracy CortezNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-20→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1644 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.51
Sig. strikes / min
3.86
48%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
58%
Strike defense
57%
0.87
Takedown avg.
2.15
33%
Takedown accuracy
47%
50%
Takedown defense
59%
0.14
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Justine KishTracy Cortez
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
2 (22%)
Submission
1 (8%)
7 (78%)
Decision
10 (83%)

Combat Edge model read

Tracy Cortez79%
Justine Kish 21%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Tracy Cortez a 79% favorite over Justine Kish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Tracy Cortez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1669 to 1569, a 100-point edge.

Tracy Cortez enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Justine Kish finishes 22% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Cortez 17%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.