Jéssica Andrade vs Katlyn Cerminara
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record18-6-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'9"
62"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1663 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamTeam Renzo Gracie
What's at stake
Katlyn Cerminara is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1674
If they lose-11→ 1650
If they win+11→ 1715
If they lose-13→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeKatlyn Cerminara
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jéssica Andrade57%
Katlyn Cerminara 43%Elo baseline: 44%
The Combat Edge model makes Jéssica Andrade a 57% favorite over Katlyn Cerminara in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Katlyn Cerminara's way (44%).
Katlyn Cerminara holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1661, a 43-point edge.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Katlyn Cerminara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Katlyn Cerminara 17%.
Katlyn Cerminara carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.