Jéssica Andrade vs Mackenzie Dern
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record16-5-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'4"
62"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamRVCA
What's at stake
Mackenzie Dern is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Jéssica Andrade carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1675
If they lose-10→ 1651
If they win+13→ 1732
If they lose-19→ 1700
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jéssica AndradeMackenzie Dern
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mackenzie Dern73%
Jéssica Andrade 27%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Mackenzie Dern a 73% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Mackenzie Dern holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1719 to 1661, a 58-point edge.
Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Mackenzie Dern enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mackenzie Dern 50%.
Jéssica Andrade and Mackenzie Dern share 3 common opponents: Lupita Godinez, Marina Rodriguez and Xiaonan Yan.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.