Combat Edge Intelligence

Jéssica Andrade vs Talita Alencar

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-15-0Record8-1-1
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'2"Height5'1"
62"Reach58"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamTemple Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jéssica AndradeNow 1661
If they win+12→ 1673
If they lose-12→ 1649
Talita AlencarNow 1668
If they win+16→ 1684
If they lose-16→ 1652

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1689 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.39
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
50%
Strike accuracy
38%
5.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.36
54%
Strike defense
56%
2.21
Takedown avg.
3.02
55%
Takedown accuracy
27%
72%
Takedown defense
67%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Jéssica AndradeTalita Alencar
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (38%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (31%)
Submission
4 (50%)
8 (31%)
Decision
4 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Talita Alencar60%
Jéssica Andrade 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Talita Alencar a 60% favorite over Jéssica Andrade in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1668), separated by just 7 points.

Jéssica Andrade enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Talita Alencar enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Jéssica Andrade finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Talita Alencar 50%.

Jéssica Andrade carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.