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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kaan Ofli vs Muhammad Naimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kaan Ofli
au

Kaan Ofli

“Genghis”

14-4-1FeatherweightUFC

1675Good

Tale of the tape

14-4-1Record13-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'9"
66"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
XFC Narre WarrenTeamElevation Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kaan OfliNow 1675
If they win+15→ 1690
If they lose-17→ 1658
Muhammad NaimovNow 1664
If they win+17→ 1681
If they lose-15→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.51
46%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
54%
Strike defense
45%
0.38
Takedown avg.
1.49
7%
Takedown accuracy
0%
0%
Takedown defense
68%
0.38
Submission avg.
0.17

Trajectory

Kaan OfliMuhammad Naimov
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (14%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
7 (50%)
Submission
2 (15%)
5 (36%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Muhammad Naimov55%
Kaan Ofli 45%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Naimov a 55% favorite over Kaan Ofli in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaan Ofli's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1664), separated by just 11 points.

Kaan Ofli enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Muhammad Naimov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kaan Ofli finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Naimov 62%.

Kaan Ofli and Muhammad Naimov share 1 common opponent: Mairon Santos.

Muhammad Naimov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO · 2024
Mairon Santos
LossTKO · 2025