Kafiz Sakibekov vs Landry Ward
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kafiz Sakibekov54%
Landry Ward 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 54% favorite over Landry Ward in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1634 vs 1634), separated by just 0 points.
Landry Ward enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Landry Ward 45%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record11-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach71"
147 lbsWeight155 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
If they win+16→ 1650
If they lose-16→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kafiz SakibekovLandry Ward