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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kafiz Sakibekov vs Nikita Podkovalnikov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

11-5-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
147 lbsWeight157 lbs
Brave Fight GymTeamSech Pro· 1654 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

Kafiz Sakibekov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nikita Podkovalnikov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Kafiz SakibekovNow 1620
If they win+14→ 1634
If they lose-18→ 1602
Nikita PodkovalnikovNow 1587
If they win+18→ 1605
If they lose-14→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
Not available
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kafiz SakibekovNikita Podkovalnikov
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (27%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
3 (27%)
Submission
6 (46%)
5 (45%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Kafiz Sakibekov69%
Nikita Podkovalnikov 31%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Kafiz Sakibekov a 69% favorite over Nikita Podkovalnikov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Kafiz Sakibekov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1587, a 33-point edge.

Nikita Podkovalnikov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kafiz Sakibekov finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Nikita Podkovalnikov 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.