Kafiz Sakibekov vs Nikita Podkovalnikov

Oct 30, 2026 · ACA TV

Pick'em vs the modelWho wins this fight?Make your pick

DateOct 30, 2026

DivisionLightweight

StatusScheduled

VenueTennis Arena

BroadcastACA TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 30, 2026 — watch on ACA TV.

US East (ET): Fri 8:00 AM
US West (PT): Fri 5:00 AM
United Kingdom: Fri 12:00 PM
Central Europe: Fri 1:00 PM
Australia (Sydney): Fri 11:00 PM
Your time

Kafiz SakibekovUrj |11-5-0Kafiz Sakibekov vs Nikita PodkovalnikovNikita Podkovalnikov12-7-0

Kafiz SakibekovUrj11-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

11-5-0Record12-7-0

27Age33

5'10"Height5'10"

-ReachTBD

147 lbsWeight157 lbs

LightweightWeight ClassLightweight

Nikita Podkovalnikov12-7-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Kafiz Sakibekov owns a 33-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Kafiz Sakibekov and Nikita Podkovalnikov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Kafiz SakibekovNikita Podkovalnikov

Recent form

Kafiz SakibekovL W L L L · -48 Elo last 5

LWLLL

Nikita PodkovalnikovL L W W W · -4 Elo last 5

LLWWW

Elo edge

Kafiz Sakibekov1620-17 last move

Nikita Podkovalnikov1587-22 last move

Why they are ranked here

Kafiz Sakibekov#230 of 440 active Lightweight fighters · 1620 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Salih Ibragimov (rated 1500 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Viskhan Kadirov (rated 1674 at the time): -17.
Last 5 fights: 1 win, 4 losses, -48 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #229 Francisco Albano Barrio, 0 ahead of #231 Mickael Lebout.

Nikita Podkovalnikov#227 of 369 active Welterweight fighters · 1587 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Elaman Dadonov (rated 1482 at the time): +24.
Costliest loss: Lost to Mehdi Dakaev (rated 1555 at the time): -22.
Last 5 fights: 3 wins, 2 losses, -4 Elo in total.
Next places: 0 points behind #226 Brian Hooi, 0 ahead of #228 Theodor Berggren.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

What's at stake

Kafiz SakibekovNow 1620 · #230 Lightweight

Wins by decision+14→ 1634

Loses by decision-18→ 1602

Nikita PodkovalnikovNow 1587 · #227 Welterweight

Wins by decision+18→ 1605

Loses by decision-14→ 1573

What-if simulatorPremium

Pick the winner and how the fight ends to see both new ratings, both new division ranks, and who each fighter would pass.

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Kafiz SakibekovvsNikita Podkovalnikov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Kafiz Sakibekovdecision leads 45% of wins

Nikita PodkovalnikovKO/TKO leads 50% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Kafiz SakibekovNikita Podkovalnikov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.81

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC lightweight average : 3.91

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 53%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 1.67

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC lightweight average : 28%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC lightweight average : 58%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC lightweight average : 0.55

3Wins by knockout6

3Wins by submission6

5Wins by decision1

2Losses by knockout1

1Losses by submission1

1Losses by decision5

Kafiz Sakibekov vs Nikita Podkovalnikov is a scheduled Lightweight fight on ACA 209 : FROLOV VS ODILOV. Kafiz Sakibekov enters with a 11-5-0 record and Nikita Podkovalnikov enters with a 12-7-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.