Kaiwen Li vs Trevor Peek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-8-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
69"Reach 70"
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
K-1 GymTeamAgoge Combatives· 1613 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1629
If they lose-12→ 1605
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kaiwen LiTrevor Peek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Peek52%
Kaiwen Li 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 52% favorite over Kaiwen Li in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kaiwen Li's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1617 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Trevor Peek enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kaiwen Li finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.