Kajan Johnson vs Nicolae Bivol
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-13-1Record8-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
75,5"Reach72.4"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Tristar GymTeamFree Fight Academy· 1536 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1603
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Kajan JohnsonNicolae Bivol
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nicolae Bivol54%
Kajan Johnson 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nicolae Bivol a 54% favorite over Kajan Johnson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Kajan Johnson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Kajan Johnson finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Nicolae Bivol 88%.
Kajan Johnson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.