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Combat Edge Intelligence

Kamuela Kirk vs Matt Ricehouse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kamuela Kirk
us

Kamuela Kirk

“The Jawaiian”

12-7-0LightweightUFC

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record6-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'11"
75"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Siege MMATeamRodrigo Vaghi Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Kamuela KirkNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Matt RicehouseNow 1587
If they win+24→ 1611
If they lose-24→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1594 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
50%
Strike accuracy
Not available
5.87
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
40%
Strike defense
Not available
1.50
Takedown avg.
Not available
26%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
47%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.20
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Kamuela KirkMatt Ricehouse
15501600165020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

5 (42%)
KO/TKO
2 (33%)
6 (50%)
Submission
1 (17%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Kamuela Kirk65%
Matt Ricehouse 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kamuela Kirk a 65% favorite over Matt Ricehouse in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1587), separated by just 0 points.

Kamuela Kirk enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Matt Ricehouse enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kamuela Kirk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Matt Ricehouse 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.