Combat Edge Intelligence

Karim Henniene vs Nathan Fletcher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

7-0-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70"Reach 70"
138 lbsWeight145 lbs
Tristar GymTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karim HennieneNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630
Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
60%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.16
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.37
TBD
Takedown accuracy
31%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Karim HennieneNathan Fletcher
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (14%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
1 (14%)
Submission
7 (64%)
5 (71%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Karim Henniene53%
Nathan Fletcher 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Karim Henniene a 53% favorite over Nathan Fletcher in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Karim Henniene enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karim Henniene finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Fletcher 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.