Combat Edge Intelligence

Karine Silva vs Ketlen Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
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Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1647Solid

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record17-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
67"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Gile Ribeiro TeamTeamCarioca Academy· 1606 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Karine Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Ketlen Souza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karine SilvaNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
Ketlen SouzaNow 1647
If they win+17→ 1664
If they lose-15→ 1632

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
39%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.86
49%
Strike defense
53%
2.30
Takedown avg.
0.46
50%
Takedown accuracy
13%
21%
Takedown defense
54%
1.53
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Karine SilvaKetlen Souza
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
8 (42%)
Submission
2 (12%)
2 (11%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Karine Silva and Ketlen Souza within a point of even.

Karine Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1647, a 16-point edge.

Karine Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karine Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Souza 65%.

Karine Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.