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Combat Edge Intelligence

Karine Silva vs Ketlen Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ketlen Souza
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Ketlen Souza

“Esquentadinha”

17-6-0StrawweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record17-6-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'2"
67"Reach63"
125 lbsWeight115 lbs
Gile Ribeiro Team· 1650 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamCarioca Academy· 1618 avg Elo · 4 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Karine SilvaNow 1663
If they win+15→ 1678
If they lose-17→ 1646
Ketlen SouzaNow 1649
If they win+17→ 1666
If they lose-15→ 1634

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
4.11
39%
Strike accuracy
57%
2.74
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.89
53%
Strike defense
53%
1.93
Takedown avg.
0.45
4%
Takedown accuracy
0%
26%
Takedown defense
54%
1.61
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Karine SilvaKetlen Souza
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
8 (42%)
Submission
2 (12%)
2 (11%)
Decision
6 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Karine Silva55%
Ketlen Souza 45%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Karine Silva a 55% favorite over Ketlen Souza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1663 vs 1649), separated by just 14 points.

Karine Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ketlen Souza enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Karine Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Ketlen Souza 65%.

Karine Silva carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.