Combat Edge Intelligence

Karine Silva vs Poliana Botelho

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-7-0Record9-5-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
67"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gile Ribeiro TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

Karine Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Poliana Botelho carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karine SilvaNow 1663
If they win+12→ 1675
If they lose-20→ 1643
Poliana BotelhoNow 1575
If they win+20→ 1595
If they lose-12→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
39%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.80
49%
Strike defense
54%
2.30
Takedown avg.
0.85
50%
Takedown accuracy
57%
21%
Takedown defense
77%
1.53
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Karine SilvaPoliana Botelho
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (47%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
8 (42%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (11%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Karine Silva73%
Poliana Botelho 27%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Karine Silva a 73% favorite over Poliana Botelho in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Karine Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1663 to 1575, a 88-point edge.

Karine Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karine Silva finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Poliana Botelho 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.