Karl Roberson vs Marvin Vettori
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-7-0Record19-10-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74"
184 lbsWeight185 lbs
Killer B Combat Sports AcademyTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Marvin Vettori is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Karl Roberson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1627
If they lose-12→ 1595
If they win+9→ 1697
If they lose-15→ 1673
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1670 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1753 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karl RobersonMarvin Vettori
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marvin Vettori76%
Karl Roberson 24%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Marvin Vettori a 76% favorite over Karl Roberson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Marvin Vettori holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1688 to 1607, a 81-point edge.
Karl Roberson enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Karl Roberson finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Marvin Vettori 58%.
Karl Roberson and Marvin Vettori share 1 common opponent: Brendan Allen.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.