Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-8-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Parana Vale Tudo· 1660 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeam011 MMA
What's at stake
Luana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Karol Rosa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1661
If they lose-10→ 1637
If they win+14→ 1706
If they lose-18→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1633 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Karol RosaLuana Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luana Santos51%
Karol Rosa 49%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Santos a 51% favorite over Karol Rosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Luana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1647, a 45-point edge.
Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Luana Santos 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.