Combat Edge Intelligence

Karol Rosa vs Nora Cornolle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record9-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight139 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamTeam Cornolle

What's at stake

Karol Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Nora Cornolle carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karol RosaNow 1647
If they win+11→ 1658
If they lose-13→ 1634
Nora CornolleNow 1631
If they win+17→ 1648
If they lose-15→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1572 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.88
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
56%
Strike accuracy
55%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.98
50%
Strike defense
58%
1.17
Takedown avg.
0.25
48%
Takedown accuracy
11%
70%
Takedown defense
47%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Karol RosaNora Cornolle
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
6 (67%)
2 (11%)
Submission
2 (22%)
13 (68%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Rosa60%
Nora Cornolle 40%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 60% favorite over Nora Cornolle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Karol Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1631, a 16-point edge.

Nora Cornolle enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Nora Cornolle 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.