Combat Edge Intelligence

Karol Rosa vs Pannie Kianzad

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach 66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Parana Vale TudoTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

Karol Rosa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Pannie Kianzad carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Karol RosaNow 1647
If they win+10→ 1657
If they lose-14→ 1633
Pannie KianzadNow 1583
If they win+19→ 1602
If they lose-13→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1634 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.88
Sig. strikes / min
4.88
56%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.09
50%
Strike defense
51%
1.17
Takedown avg.
0.41
48%
Takedown accuracy
33%
70%
Takedown defense
66%
0.17
Submission avg.
0.10

Trajectory

Karol RosaPannie Kianzad
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (21%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
13 (68%)
Decision
13 (81%)

Combat Edge model read

Karol Rosa82%
Pannie Kianzad 18%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Karol Rosa a 82% favorite over Pannie Kianzad in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Karol Rosa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1647 to 1583, a 64-point edge.

Pannie Kianzad enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Karol Rosa finishes 32% of wins inside the distance, Pannie Kianzad 19%.

Karol Rosa and Pannie Kianzad share 2 common opponents: Lina Länsberg and Bethe Correia.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (2)

WinDecision (majority) · 2022
Lina Länsberg
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2021
Bethe Correia
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2020